Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.188981 1.347683 1.520779 1.723769 1.955523 2.212136 2.518188
2026-01-25 0.923046 1.133302 1.382509 1.700429 2.096363 2.574677 3.198574
2026-02-01 0.765228 0.992211 1.277003 1.662074 2.171516 2.825685 3.734676
2026-02-08 0.655251 0.887768 1.193229 1.626223 2.228050 3.040558 4.230151
2026-02-15 0.588428 0.828195 1.156021 1.640296 2.343194 3.335006 4.855988
2026-02-22 0.528785 0.769678 1.110877 1.633706 2.422414 3.580155 5.431107
2026-03-01 0.475601 0.713503 1.061359 1.612343 2.473157 3.783058 5.958657
2026-03-08 0.421574 0.649886 0.993430 1.554138 2.458441 3.880368 6.325797
2026-03-15 0.387534 0.613068 0.961833 1.547606 2.521575 4.102096 6.913307
2026-03-22 0.374172 0.607149 0.977229 1.616610 2.712243 4.546665 7.920642
2026-03-29 0.347300 0.576593 0.949761 1.611181 2.776033 4.782684 8.588200
2026-04-05 0.329419 0.559184 0.942031 1.637726 2.896132 5.125243 9.481763
2026-04-12 0.304311 0.529719 0.915471 1.636600 2.981402 5.440770 10.416242
2026-04-19 0.277606 0.495390 0.878082 1.613911 3.028435 5.699064 11.292361
2026-04-26 0.252257 0.460733 0.836249 1.577619 3.044133 5.897516 12.073067
2026-05-03 0.230242 0.429912 0.798136 1.543684 3.059381 6.094881 12.875716
2026-05-10 0.216637 0.413504 0.785196 1.557006 3.169772 6.494919 14.163827
2026-05-17 0.202073 0.393775 0.763821 1.550767 3.238502 6.815625 15.320719
2026-05-24 0.187417 0.372436 0.737156 1.530546 3.274762 7.070295 16.361629
2026-05-31 0.170604 0.345189 0.696056 1.475446 3.228606 7.138006 16.971266
2026-06-07 0.160187 0.330144 0.678543 1.469262 3.290368 7.455023 18.228656
2026-06-14 0.157175 0.330331 0.692832 1.534585 3.522641 8.193405 20.645856
2026-06-21 0.148193 0.316896 0.676726 1.529446 3.589097 8.546130 22.123549